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Foreign Policy Analysis

(IES244) -  ΡΕΒΕΚΚΑ ΠΑΙΔΗ

Περιγραφή Μαθήματος

Foreign Policy Analysis course will introduce students to the process of Foreign Policy making. Organized along multiple levels of analysis (international systemic, state, sub-state, and individual) the course focuses on concepts and theories needed to make sense of contemporary developments in Foreign Policy making. In doing so, the course transcends the borders between the domestic and the international to explore the processes happening in between. The role of power, perception and misperception in the dynamics of individual and group-level decision-making as well as the role of governments and their bureaucracies, domestic and transnational social groups (i.e. diaspora), individuals, domestic politics, culture, media and public opinion will be examined. Particular attention will be given to the processes of Foreign Policy Change, Foreign Policy Crisis and Negotiations in Foreign Policy. The course will emphasize participation and application of the theories through active and collaborative learning activities throughout the semester. At the end of the course students will be expected a) to have a good understanding of Foreign Policy Analysis Theories b) to deepen their knowledge of the role of systemic, state, and individual variables in Foreign Policy Making c) to be able to apply their theoretical knowledge in investigating cases in Foreign Policy Analysis 
 
Assessment Methods

45% 3.500 words Essay
20% Foreign Policy Methods Exercise
25 % Foreign Policy Brief
10% Participation

 
Core Reading: Morin, J. F., & Paquin, J. (2018). Foreign policy analysis: A toolbox. Springer. Below you can find a a more detailed reading list 

Week 1

Introduction to Foreign Policy

Week 2

Systemic Theories of Foreign Policy

Week 3-4

State-Level Theories of Foreign Policy I & II

Week 5

Individual-Level Theories of Foreign Policy

Week 6

Media & the Role of Public Opinion in Foreign Policy Making

Week 7

Practical Exercise I: A Foreign Policy Methods Exercise

Week 8

Thucydides & Decision Making

Week 9

Rational Choice & Game Theory

Week 10

Term Paper Workshop

Week 11

Foreign Policy Analysis Crisis & Negotiations

Week 12

Practical Exercise II: Produce a Foreign Policy Brief

Week 13

Synopsis
   
 

Core Reading: 

Morin, J. F., & Paquin, J. (2018). Foreign policy analysis: A toolbox. Springer. 

(You can find it online through the UoM) 


Complementary Reading 

Hill, C. (2015). Foreign policy in the twenty-first century. Bloomsbury Publishing.

Hudson, Valerie M. (2014) Foreign Policy Analysis: Classic and Contemporary Theory. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield.

1. Introduction to Foreign Policy

*Morin, J.F.  and Paquin, J. (2018) What is  Foreign Policy? Foreign policy analysis: A Toolbox. Springer. pp 1-15

*Morin, J.F.  and Paquin, J. (2018) How to Identify and Assess a Foreign Policy?, Foreign policy analysis: A Toolbox. Springer. pp 17-67

Leira, Halvard. "The emergence of foreign policy." International Studies Quarterly 63.1 (2019): 187-198.

2. Systemic Theories of Foreign Policy 

Morin, J.F.  and Paquin, J. (2018) Does the International Structure Explain Foreign Policy? Foreign policy analysis: A Toolbox. Springer. pp 315-339

*Wivel, A. (2017). Realism in Foreign Policy Analysis. In  Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics.

3-4 State-Level Theories of Foreign Policy 

*Morin, J.F.  and Paquin, J. (2018) What Is the Influence of the Bureaucracy? Foreign policy analysis: A Toolbox. Springer. pp 101-126

*Morin, J.F.  and Paquin, J. (2018) What Part Does Culture Play in FPA?  Foreign policy analysis: A Toolbox. Springer. pp 255-314

*Morin, J.F.  and Paquin, J. (2018) To What Extent Is Foreign Policy Shaped by Institutions? Foreign policy analysis: A Toolbox. Springer. pp 127-166

Hyde, S. D., & Saunders, E. N. (2020). Recapturing regime type in international relations: Leaders, institutions, and agency space. International Organization, 74(2), 363-395.

Holsti, K. J. (1970). National role conceptions in the study of foreign policy. International Studies Quarterly, 14(3), 233-309.

5. Individual Level Theories of Foreign Policy 

*Morin, J.F.  and Paquin, J. (2018) Do Decision Makers Matter? Foreign policy analysis: A Toolbox. Springer. pp 69-100

Hermann, M. G., Preston, T., Korany, B., & Shaw, T. M. (2001). Who leads matters: The effects of powerful individuals. International Studies Review, 3(2), 83-131.

*Jervis, R. (1968). Hypotheses on misperception. World politics, 20(3), 454-479.

Wivel, A., & Grøn, C. H. (2021). Charismatic leadership in foreign policy. International affairs, 97(2), 365-383.

6. Media and Public Opinion in Foreign Policy Making

*Morin, J.F.  and Paquin, J. (2018) How Influential Are the Social Actors? Foreign policy analysis: A Toolbox. Springer. pp 167-200

*Putnam, R. D. (1988). Diplomacy and domestic politics: the logic of two-level games. International Organization, 42(3), 427-460.

Oneal, J. R., & Bryan, A. L. (1995). The rally'round the flag effect in US foreign policy crises, 1950-1985. Political Behavior, 379-401.

Robinson, P. (1999). The CNN effect: can the news media drive foreign policy?. Review of international studies, 25(2), 301-309.

Hall, J. (2021). In search of enemies: Donald Trump’s populist foreign policy rhetoric. Politics, 41(1), 48-63.

7. Practical Exercise I: Foreign Policy Methods Exercise 

Speeches (indicative):

The President's Speech in Cairo: A New Beginning

Address by the President of the Russian Federation (21 February 2022)

Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis’ address to the Joint Session of the U.S. Congress

UNGD speeches

Scholarly Work on Speeches

Warren, S. (1995). Churchill's Realism: Reflections on the Fulton Speech. The National Interest, (42), 38-49.

Bratberg, Ø. (2011). Ideas, tradition and norm entrepreneurs: retracing guiding principles of foreign policy in Blair and Chirac's speeches on Iraq. Review of International Studies, 37(1), 327-348.

Lacatus, C. (2021). Populism and President Trump’s approach to foreign policy: An analysis of tweets and rally speeches. Politics, 41(1), 31-47.

Hager, A., & Hilbig, H. (2020). Does public opinion affect political speech?. American Journal of Political Science, 64(4), 921-937.

8. Thucydides & Decision Making 

Kouskouvelis, I. (2018). Thucydides on Choice and Decision Making: Why War Is Not Inevitable. Lexington Books. Chapter 4: The Thucydides’ Decision Making Schema &Chapter 5: The Thucydides’ Schema on Flawed Decision Making

9. Rational Choice,  Game Theory and Decision Making 

Morin, J.F.  and Paquin, J. (2018) How Does Rationality Apply to FPA and What Are Its Limitations? Foreign policy analysis: A Toolbox. Springer. pp 167-200

10. Term Paper Workshop: Brief presentations of the Term papers by Students and Feedback 

11. Foreign Policy Analysis,  Crisis & Negotiations 

Stern, E. K. (2003). Crisis studies and foreign policy analysis: Insights, synergies, and challenges. International Studies Review, 5(2), 183-202.

Miskimmon, A. (2012). German foreign policy and the Libya crisis. German politics, 21(4), 392-410.

Tsourapas, G. (2019). The Syrian refugee crisis and foreign policy decision-making in Jordan, Lebanon, and Turkey. Journal of Global Security Studies, 4(4), 464-481.

Da Vinha, L. (2021). A tale of two red lines: Managing foreign policy crises in the Obama and Trump administrations. Comparative Strategy, 40(1), 63-85.

12.  Practical Exercise II: Produce a Foreign Policy Brief 

13. Synopsis 




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Τετάρτη 1 Μαρτίου 2023

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